论文标题
建模家庭，企业和基础设施系统之间相互依赖的框架；以及他们对中断的反应
A framework for modeling interdependencies among households, businesses, and infrastructure systems; and their response to disruptions
论文作者
论文摘要
由家庭，企业和基础设施组成的城市系统正在不断发展和扩展。这有几种含义，因为破坏的影响以及系统的复杂性和相互依存关系正在迅速增加。因此，我们面临着如何提高我们对这些实体之间相互依存关系的理解及其对破坏的反应的挑战。这项研究的目的是（1）创建一种模仿企业或家庭的代谢的代理，从而从企业或家庭中获得供应并为基础设施系统提供产出； （2）实施与价格机制协调的代理网络； （3）测试该原型模型对破坏的响应。我们的调查导致了业务/家庭代理商的发展，以及基于生产和运输成本而在中断的网络协调机制的动态自我组织机制。仿真实验证实了该新模型用于分析对中断反应的可行性。根据我们的期望，考虑到基础设施链接和生产过程的失败的九种破坏场景中，具有最大的负面影响。我们还确定了未来研究的领域，这些领域侧重于网络拓扑，资源分配机制以及破坏产生的领域。
Urban systems, composed of households, businesses, and infrastructures, are continuously evolving and expanding. This has several implications because the impacts of disruptions, and the complexity and interdependence of systems, are rapidly increasing. Hence, we face a challenge in how to improve our understanding about the interdependencies among those entities, as well as their responses to disruptions. The aims of this study were to (1) create an agent that mimics the metabolism of a business or household that obtains supplies from and provides output to infrastructure systems; (2) implement a network of agents that exchange resources, as coordinated with a price mechanism; and (3) test the responses of this prototype model to disruptions. Our investigation resulted in the development of a business/household agent and a dynamically self-organizing mechanism of network coordination under disruption based on costs for production and transportation. Simulation experiments confirmed the feasibility of this new model for analyzing responses to disruptions. Among the nine disruption scenarios considered, in line with our expectations, the one combining the failures of infrastructure links and production processes had the most negative impact. We also identified areas for future research that focus on network topologies, mechanisms for resource allocation, and disruption generation.
