论文标题

关于Covid-19大流行期间的移动性和住院能力之间的相互作用:Seirhud模型

On the interplay between mobility and hospitalization capacity during the COVID-19 pandemic: The SEIRHUD model

论文作者

Veloz, Tomas, Maldonado, Pedro, Ropert, Samuel, Ravello, Cesar, Mora, Soraya, Barrios, Alejandra, Villaseca, Tomas, Valdenegro, Cesar, Perez-Acle, Tomas

论文摘要

减少199大流行的影响的措施需要逻辑,政治和社会能力。根据国家的不同,观察到增加住院能力或正确应用锁定的不同方法。为了更好地了解这些措施的影响,我们开发了一个隔间模型,一方面,该模型可以校准减少不同领域内部和不同领域的人的运动,另一方面,它结合了住院动态,以区分感染者可以接受的可用治疗方法。通过限制住院能力,我们可以详细研究出行能力和住院能力之间的相互作用。

Measures to reduce the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic require a mix of logistic, political and social capacity. Depending on the country, different approaches to increase hospitalization capacity or to properly apply lock-downs are observed. In order to better understand the impact of these measures we have developed a compartmental model which, on the one hand allows to calibrate the reduction of movement of people within and among different areas, and on the other hand it incorporates a hospitalization dynamics that differentiates the available kinds of treatment that infected people can receive. By bounding the hospitalization capacity, we are able to study in detail the interplay between mobility and hospitalization capacity.

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