论文标题
巴吞鲁日郊区通勤的时间趋势1990-2010
Temporal Trends of Intraurban Commuting in Baton Rouge 1990-2010
论文作者
论文摘要
根据巴吞鲁日（Baton Rouge）的1990 - 2010年CTPP数据，这项研究分析了时间和距离的通勤模式的时间趋势。与以前的工作相比，通过基于蒙特卡洛的单个工作之旅以减轻纬向效应的仿真，可以更准确地校准通勤长度。首先，平均通勤距离在1990年至2010年不断攀升，而平均通勤时间在1990-2000增加，但随后略有下降到2010年。其次，城市土地的使用仍然是通勤模式随时间的良好预测指标（例如，解释了90％的平均通勤距离的90％，平均通勤时间约为30％）。最后，在1990 - 2000年，多余通勤的百分比显着增加，然后稳定。
Based on the 1990-2010 CTPP data in Baton Rouge, this research analyzes the temporal trends of commuting patterns in both time and distance. In comparison to previous work, commuting length is calibrated more accurately by Monte Carlo based simulation of individual journey-to-work trips to mitigate the zonal effect. First, average commute distance kept climbing in 1990-2010 while average commute time increased in 1990-2000 but then slightly dropped toward 2010. Secondly, urban land use remained a good predictor of commuting pattern over time (e.g., explaining up to 90% of mean commute distance and about 30% of mean commute time). Finally, the percentage of excess commuting increased significantly in 1990-2000 and stabilized afterwards.
