论文标题

一次一步:渐进主义会建立协调吗?

One Step at a Time: Does Gradualism Build Coordination?

论文作者

Ye, Maoliang, Zheng, Jie, Nikolov, Plamen, Asher, Sam

论文摘要

这项研究研究了促进协调的潜在机制。通过使用基于信念的学习模型的理论指导,我们进行了多个周期,二进制选择和最弱的实验室协调实验,以研究渐进主义的影响 - 随着时间的推移会缓慢增加所需的贡献水平(赌注),而不是立即需要高水平的贡献 - 对小组协调绩效。我们将受试者随机分配给三种治疗方法:以高股份开始和继续进行高股份,但在几个时期后跳到高股份,并以低赌注开始,同时随着时间的推移逐渐增加了赌注(渐进式治疗)。我们发现,相对于其他两种治疗方法,小组在渐进式治疗中的高风险方面取得了最大的协调。我们还找到了支持基于信念的学习模型的证据。这些发现指出了促进成功自愿协调的简单机制。

This study investigates a potential mechanism to promote coordination. With theoretical guidance using a belief-based learning model, we conduct a multi-period, binary-choice, and weakest-link laboratory coordination experiment to study the effect of gradualism - increasing the required levels (stakes) of contributions slowly over time rather than requiring a high level of contribution immediately - on group coordination performance. We randomly assign subjects to three treatments: starting and continuing at a high stake, starting at a low stake but jumping to a high stake after a few periods, and starting at a low stake while gradually increasing the stakes over time (the Gradualism treatment). We find that relative to the other two treatments, groups coordinate most successfully at high stakes in the Gradualism treatment. We also find evidence that supports the belief-based learning model. These findings point to a simple mechanism for promoting successful voluntary coordination.

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