论文标题
SEI1I2HRSVM模型应用于巴拉圭的冠状病毒大流行（Covid-19）
SEI1I2HRSVM model applied to the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) in Paraguay
论文作者
论文摘要
在本文中，提出了一种数学模型，以研究巴拉圭的当前冠状病毒爆发（SARS-COV-2），描述了感染动力学中的多个传播路径，遵循易感性，暴露，感染性，住院，住院治疗，免疫力丧失和恢复个体，以及病毒在环境和死亡中的作用以及来自COVID-19或其他原因的作用。为了反映政府和人口采取的控制措施的影响，该模型采用可变的传输速率，随着流行病学地位和环境状况的变化。该模型已验证，并通过公开可用的数据来证明其应用程序。
In the present article a mathematical model is proposed to research the current coronavirus outbreak (SARS-CoV-2) in Paraguay, describing the multiple transmission paths in the infection dynamics, following the susceptible, exposed, infectious, hospitalized, with lost immunity and recovered individuals, as well as the role of the virus in the environment and deaths from COVID-19 or other reasons. In order to reflect the impact of the control measures adopted by the government and the population, the model employs variable transmission rates that change with the epidemiological status and environmental conditions. The model is validated, and its application is demonstrated with data publicly available.
