论文标题
很棒的SCO2T!碳封存科学,工程和经济学的快速工具
Great SCO2T! Rapid tool for carbon sequestration science, engineering, and economics
论文作者
论文摘要
对于主要的气候和经济驱动因素,在未来几十年中,二氧化碳捕获和存放(CCS)技术可能会广泛部署:CCS是每种清洁能源途径的一部分,将全球变暖限制为2C或更少,并在美国获得大量的CO2税收抵免。这些驱动因素可能每年刺激捕获,运输和存储数亿或数十亿吨的二氧化碳。 CCS难题的关键部分是识别和表征大量CO2的合适存储位点。我们引入了一种称为SCO2T的新软件工具(二氧化碳工具的固存,发音为“ Scott”),以迅速表征盐水储存库。该工具旨在快速筛选数十万个储层,执行灵敏度和不确定性分析,并将隔离工程(注入率,储层能力,羽流)与封存经济学(大约70个独立的经济投入量构成的成本)。我们描述了支持SCO2T的新型科学发展,包括一种新的估计二氧化碳注入率和二氧化碳羽流尺寸的方法,以及将隔离工程与经济学联系起来的关键进步。接下来,我们对地质组合(包括形成深度,厚度,渗透率,孔隙率和温度)进行敏感性和不确定性分析,以了解对碳封存的影响。通过敏感性分析,我们表明,增加深度和渗透性都可以导致二氧化碳注入率提高,储存潜力增加和成本降低,同时增加孔隙率会通过增加储层容量而不会影响注入率(在所有情况下以恒定压力注入恒定压力)而降低成本。
CO2 capture and storage (CCS) technology is likely to be widely deployed in coming decades in response to major climate and economics drivers: CCS is part of every clean energy pathway that limits global warming to 2C or less and receives significant CO2 tax credits in the United States. These drivers are likely to stimulate capture, transport, and storage of hundreds of millions or billions of tonnes of CO2 annually. A key part of the CCS puzzle will be identifying and characterizing suitable storage sites for vast amounts of CO2. We introduce a new software tool called SCO2T (Sequestration of CO2 Tool, pronounced "Scott") to rapidly characterizing saline storage reservoirs. The tool is designed to rapidly screen hundreds of thousands of reservoirs, perform sensitivity and uncertainty analyses, and link sequestration engineering (injection rates, reservoir capacities, plume dimensions) to sequestration economics (costs constructed from around 70 separate economic inputs). We describe the novel science developments supporting SCO2T including a new approach to estimating CO2 injection rates and CO2 plume dimensions as well as key advances linking sequestration engineering with economics. Next, we perform a sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of geology combinations (including formation depth, thickness, permeability, porosity, and temperature) to understand the impact on carbon sequestration. Through the sensitivity analysis we show that increasing depth and permeability both can lead to increased CO2 injection rates, increased storage potential, and reduced costs, while increasing porosity reduces costs without impacting the injection rate (CO2 is injected at a constant pressure in all cases) by increasing the reservoir capacity.