论文标题
有效的自适应设计,用于COVID-19的干预措施的临床试验
Efficient adaptive designs for clinical trials of interventions for COVID-19
论文作者
论文摘要
COVID-19大流行导致在临床研究活动方面产生了前所未有的反应。这项研究的一个重要部分集中在随机对照临床试验上,以评估COVID-19的潜在疗法。这项研究的结果需要尽快获得。这提出了与疾病自然史以及受影响的患者的数量和特征相关的许多挑战,以及新的潜在疗法的出现。这些挑战使临床试验的自适应设计成为特别有吸引力的选择。这样的设计允许根据临时分析数据进行修改或在观察到足够强的证据以回答研究问题的情况下进行修改,而不会损害试验的科学有效性或完整性。在本文中,我们描述了一些可用的自适应设计方法,并讨论了与它们在大流行环境中使用相关的特定问题和挑战。我们的讨论通过四项正在进行的Covid-19试验的详细信息来说明,这些试验使用了自适应设计。
The COVID-19 pandemic has led to an unprecedented response in terms of clinical research activity. An important part of this research has been focused on randomized controlled clinical trials to evaluate potential therapies for COVID-19. The results from this research need to be obtained as rapidly as possible. This presents a number of challenges associated with considerable uncertainty over the natural history of the disease and the number and characteristics of patients affected, and the emergence of new potential therapies. These challenges make adaptive designs for clinical trials a particularly attractive option. Such designs allow a trial to be modified on the basis of interim analysis data or stopped as soon as sufficiently strong evidence has been observed to answer the research question, without compromising the trial's scientific validity or integrity. In this paper we describe some of the adaptive design approaches that are available and discuss particular issues and challenges associated with their use in the pandemic setting. Our discussion is illustrated by details of four ongoing COVID-19 trials that have used adaptive designs.