论文标题

堆叠的双向和单向LSTM复发性神经网络,用于预测网络范围内的交通状态缺失。

Stacked Bidirectional and Unidirectional LSTM Recurrent Neural Network for Forecasting Network-wide Traffic State with Missing Values

论文作者

Cui, Zhiyong, Ke, Ruimin, Pu, Ziyuan, Wang, Yinhai

论文摘要

近年来,基于深度学习方法(尤其是经常性神经网络(RNN))的短期流量预测,尤其是经常性神经网络(RNN)。但是,基于RNN的模型在流量预测中的潜力尚未完全利用空间数据的预测能力以及处理丢失数据的能力。在本文中,我们专注于基于RNN的模型,并试图将将RNN及其变体纳入流量预测模型的方式进行重新制定。提出了一个堆叠的双向和单向LSTM网络体系结构(SBU-LSTM),以协助为交通状态预测的神经网络结构设计。作为体系结构的关键组成部分,双向LSTM(BDLSM)被利用以捕获时空数据中的前向和向后的依赖性。为了处理空间数据中的缺失值,我们还通过设计一个插补单元来推断缺失值并协助流量预测,提出了LSTM结构(LSTM-I)中的数据归合机制。 LSTM-I的双向版本都合并到SBU-LSTM体系结构中。两个现实的网络交通状态数据集用于进行实验并发布以促进进一步的交通预测研究。评估了多种类型的多层LSTM或BDLSTM模型的预测性能。实验结果表明,所提出的SBU-LSTM体系结构,尤其是两层BDLSTM网络,可以在准确性和鲁棒性方面实现较高的网络交通预测性能。此外,全面的比较结果表明,当模型的输入数据包含不同的缺失值模式时,基于RNN的模型中提出的数据归合机制可以实现出色的预测性能。

Short-term traffic forecasting based on deep learning methods, especially recurrent neural networks (RNN), has received much attention in recent years. However, the potential of RNN-based models in traffic forecasting has not yet been fully exploited in terms of the predictive power of spatial-temporal data and the capability of handling missing data. In this paper, we focus on RNN-based models and attempt to reformulate the way to incorporate RNN and its variants into traffic prediction models. A stacked bidirectional and unidirectional LSTM network architecture (SBU-LSTM) is proposed to assist the design of neural network structures for traffic state forecasting. As a key component of the architecture, the bidirectional LSTM (BDLSM) is exploited to capture the forward and backward temporal dependencies in spatiotemporal data. To deal with missing values in spatial-temporal data, we also propose a data imputation mechanism in the LSTM structure (LSTM-I) by designing an imputation unit to infer missing values and assist traffic prediction. The bidirectional version of LSTM-I is incorporated in the SBU-LSTM architecture. Two real-world network-wide traffic state datasets are used to conduct experiments and published to facilitate further traffic prediction research. The prediction performance of multiple types of multi-layer LSTM or BDLSTM models is evaluated. Experimental results indicate that the proposed SBU-LSTM architecture, especially the two-layer BDLSTM network, can achieve superior performance for the network-wide traffic prediction in both accuracy and robustness. Further, comprehensive comparison results show that the proposed data imputation mechanism in the RNN-based models can achieve outstanding prediction performance when the model's input data contains different patterns of missing values.

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