论文标题
在年龄结构离散的人群中，共同-19大流行的最佳检疫策略
Optimal quarantine strategies for the COVID-19 pandemic in a population with a discrete age structure
论文作者
论文摘要
这项工作的目的是研究巴西Covid-19的最佳控制。我们考虑一个具有隔离区隔室的年龄结构化SEIRQ模型，其中控件是隔离的入口参数。然后，我们通过评估与没有隔离的同期相比，通过评估其各自的死亡人数减少来比较不同隔离长度的最佳控制和总控制成本的分布。最佳策略提供了何时放松每个年龄段的隔离度量的日历。最后，我们分析了隔离区开头的延迟如何通过更改初始条件来影响本日历。
The goal of this work is to study the optimal controls for the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil. We consider an age-structured SEIRQ model with quarantine compartment, where the controls are the quarantine entrance parameters. We then compare the optimal controls for different quarantine lengths and distribution of the total control cost by assessing their respective reductions in deaths in comparison to the same period without quarantine. The best strategy provides a calendar of when to relax the isolation measures for each age group. Finally, we analyse how a delay in the beginning of the quarantine affects this calendar by changing the initial conditions.
