论文标题

人们应该多久测试一次对电晕进行测试以避免关闭?

How Often Should People be Tested for Corona to Avoid a Shutdown?

论文作者

Hlavacs, Helmut

论文摘要

基于众所周知的SIR模型,本文开发了一个模型,用于预测无症状人员的必要测试数量,以便将REFF推向1以下,从而抑制了爆发。该模型考虑了R0,获得测试结果的时间以及人口纪律的影响。结果是每日测试数量的封闭形式表达式。

Based on the well known SIR model, this paper develops a model for predicting the number of necessary testings of asymptomatic persons in order to push Reff below 1, thus suppressing an outbreak. The model considers R0, time for obtaining a test result, and effect of population discipline. The outcome are closed form expressions for the number of daily tests.

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