论文标题

将耦合的时间序列映射到复杂网络

Mapping Coupled Time-series Onto Complex Network

论文作者

Ardalankia, Jamshid, Askari, Jafar, Sheykhali, Somaye, Haven, Emmanuel, Jafari, G. Reza

论文摘要

为了从两个可能不相关的时间序列中提取隐藏的联合信息,我们探讨了网络科学的衡量标准。除了对经济市场的时间序列分析中的常见方法之外,将两个时间序列的联合结构映射到网络中,还可以洞悉耦合中嵌入的隐藏方面。我们将两个时间序列的幅度离散,并研究这些幅度的相对位置。离散振幅的每个段都被视为节点。两个时间序列的幅度同时被认为是网络中的边缘。发生频率形成了加权边缘。为了提取信息,我们需要测量耦合在何种程度上偏离两个未耦合系列的耦合。同样,我们需要衡量耦合在何种程度上从高斯分布或非高斯分布中继承其特征。我们从两个替代时间序列绘制了网络。结果表明,市场的耦合具有某些功能,这些功能与由白噪声映射的网络的相同特征以及由两个替代时间序列映射的网络不同。这些偏差证明其中存在联合信息和互相关。通过应用网络的拓扑和统计量度以及关节概率分布中的变形比,我们区分了跨市场的跨相关和耦合的基本结构。人们发现,即使是两个可能已知的不相关的市场,也可能彼此拥有一些联合模式。因此,应该对这些市场进行检查,并\ textit {弱}耦合市场。

In order to extract hidden joint information from two possibly uncorrelated time-series, we explored the measures of network science. Alongside common methods in time-series analysis of the economic markets, mapping the joint structure of two time-series onto a network provides insight into hidden aspects embedded in the couplings. We discretize the amplitude of two time-series and investigate relative simultaneous locations of those amplitudes. Each segment of a discretized amplitude is considered as a node. The simultaneity of the amplitudes of the two time-series is considered as the edges in the network. The frequency of occurrences forms the weighted edges. In order to extract information, we need to measure that to what extent the coupling deviates from the coupling of two uncoupled series. Also, we need to measure that to what extent the couplings inherit their characteristics from a Gaussian distribution or a non-Gaussian distribution. We mapped the network from two surrogate time-series. The results show that the couplings of markets possess some features which diverge from the same features of the network mapped from white noise, and from the network mapped from two surrogate time-series. These deviations prove that there exist joint information and cross-correlation therein. By applying the network's topological and statistical measures and the deformation ratio in the joint probability distribution, we distinguished basic structures of cross-correlation and coupling of cross-markets. It was discovered that even two possibly known uncorrelated markets may possess some joint patterns with each other. Thereby, those markets should be examined as coupled and \textit{weakly} coupled markets.

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