论文标题
武汉案例研究的covid-19传输动力学的数学建模
Mathematical Modeling of COVID-19 Transmission Dynamics with a Case Study of Wuhan
论文作者
论文摘要
我们提出了一个隔室数学模型，以特别关注超级传播者个体的可传播性，以促进Covid-19疾病的传播。我们计算基本的繁殖数阈值，根据基本繁殖数研究了无疾病平衡的局部稳定性，我们研究了模型对每个参数的变化的敏感性。数值模拟显示了拟议的Covid-19模型对中国武汉爆发的适用性。
We propose a compartmental mathematical model for the spread of the COVID-19 disease with special focus on the transmissibility of super-spreaders individuals. We compute the basic reproduction number threshold, we study the local stability of the disease free equilibrium in terms of the basic reproduction number, and we investigate the sensitivity of the model with respect to the variation of each one of its parameters. Numerical simulations show the suitability of the proposed COVID-19 model for the outbreak that occurred in Wuhan, China.
