论文标题

COVID-19动力学中国家特定差异的视觉解释

Visual explanation of country specific differences in Covid-19 dynamics

论文作者

Bertschinger, Nils

论文摘要

该报告提供了对Covid-19病例和死亡数据的视觉检查。特别是,它表明,国家特定的差异也可以通过两个易于解释的参数来解释。也就是说,报告的病例和死亡与观察到的病例的比例之间的延迟。此外,这允许降低已感染的实际人数的实际总数。

This report provides a visual examination of Covid-19 case and death data. In particular, it shows that country specific differences can too a large extend be explained by two easily interpreted parameters. Namely, the delay between reported cases and deaths and the fraction of cases observed. Furthermore, this allows to lower bound the actual total number of people already infected.

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