论文标题
蒙蒂大厅的问题重新审视了
The Monty Hall problem revisited
论文作者
论文摘要
我们提出了一种新方法,以其一般形式解决古典蒙蒂大厅问题。该解决方案是基于概率理论的基本工具,它通过定义将样品空间分解为分区的三个基本事件。分区每个元素的概率使我们能够计算获胜的条件和边缘概率。
We propose a new approach to solve the classical Monty Hall problem in its general form. The solution is based on basic tools of probability theory, by defining three elementary events which decompose the sample space into a partition. The probabilities of each element of the partition allow us to compute the conditional and marginal probabilities of winning.