论文标题

冠状病毒病动力学的数学描述(Covid-19):巴西的案例研究

A Mathematical Description of the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19): A Case Study of Brazil

论文作者

Savi, Pedro V., Savi, Marcelo A., Borges, Beatriz

论文摘要

本文介绍了与冠状病毒动力学相关的数学建模和数值模拟。根据易感暴露感染的模型的框架开发了描述。最初,使用来自中国,意大利,伊朗和巴西的数据进行校准系统参数进行校准。之后,进行数值模拟以分析巴西Covid-19的不同情况。结果表明,政府和个人行动在控制与大流行有关的关键情况的数量和时期的重要性。

This paper deals with the mathematical modeling and numerical simulations related to the coronavirus dynamics. A description is developed based on the framework of susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model. Initially, a model verification is carried out calibrating system parameters with data from China, Italy, Iran and Brazil. Afterward, numerical simulations are performed to analyzed different scenarios of COVID-19 in Brazil. Results show the importance of governmental and individual actions to control the number and the period of the critical situations related to the pandemic.

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