论文标题
现有数据校准的COVID-19的爵士模型,并预计为哥伦比亚
SIR Model for COVID-19 calibrated with existing data and projected for Colombia
论文作者
论文摘要
在本文中,我们开发了一个爵士流行病学模型,该模型的参数在撰写本文时根据现有数据计算得出(24/03/2020);该数据来自意大利,韩国和哥伦比亚,然后使用该模型投射哥伦比亚的Covid-19-19,使用该国的人口数据以及模拟开始时已知的初始条件,用于不同的情况。
In this paper we develop a SIR epidemiological model with parameters calculated according to existing data at the time of writing (24/03/2020); the data is from Italy, South Korea and Colombia, the model is then used to project the evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic in Colombia for different scenarios using the data of population for the country and known initial conditions at the start of the simulation.