论文标题
使用位置大数据校准动态霍夫模型进行业务分析
Calibrating the dynamic Huff model for business analysis using location big data
论文作者
论文摘要
Huff模型已被广泛用于基于位置的业务分析,用于描述包含潜在客户到商店的交易区域。校准霍夫模型及其扩展需要经验的位置访问数据。许多研究依靠劳动密集型调查。随着移动设备的可用性越来越多,基于位置的平台的用户以良好的时空分辨率共享有关其位置的丰富多媒体信息,该分辨率为商业智能提供了机会。在这项研究中,我们提出了一个时间感知的动态霍夫模型(T-HUFF),用于基于位置的市场份额分析,并使用基于十个人口最多的美国城市的手机位置数据的大规模商店访问模式来校准该模型。通过比较两种商店的小时访问模式,我们证明了校准的T-Huff模型比原始的Huff模型更准确,可以预测随着时间的推移,预测不同类型的业务(例如,超市与百货商店)的市场份额。我们还确定了区域可变性,其中大都市地区的人们对长途访问的敏感性较小。此外,还检查并总结了一些可能影响人们访问决定的社会经济和人口统计学因素(例如家庭收入中位数)。
The Huff model has been widely used in location-based business analysis for delineating a trading area containing potential customers to a store. Calibrating the Huff model and its extensions requires empirical location visit data. Many studies rely on labor-intensive surveys. With the increasing availability of mobile devices, users in location-based platforms share rich multimedia information about their locations in a fine spatiotemporal resolution, which offers opportunities for business intelligence. In this research, we present a time-aware dynamic Huff model (T-Huff) for location-based market share analysis and calibrate this model using large-scale store visit patterns based on mobile phone location data across ten most populated U.S. cities. By comparing the hourly visit patterns of two types of stores, we demonstrate that the calibrated T-Huff model is more accurate than the original Huff model in predicting the market share of different types of business (e.g., supermarkets vs. department stores) over time. We also identify the regional variability where people in large metropolitan areas with a well-developed transit system show less sensitivity to long-distance visits. In addition, several socioeconomic and demographic factors (e.g., median household income) that potentially affect people's visit decisions are examined and summarized.