论文标题
公司在在线活动中的多样性和主导地位的发展
Evolution of diversity and dominance of companies in online activity
论文作者
论文摘要
自网络开始以来,网站的数量一直在成倍增长。这些网站涵盖了越来越多的在线服务,这些网站涵盖了越来越多的行业的各种社会和经济职能。然而,网络的网络性质,加上优先依恋,增加回报和全球贸易的经济学,这表明,从长远来看,少数竞争性巨头可能会占主导地位,例如搜索,零售和社交媒体。在这里,我们进行了一项大规模的纵向研究,以量化在线环境中给予竞争组织的注意力的分布。在两个大型在线社交媒体数据集中,包含超过100亿个帖子并跨越了十多年,我们将发布到组织的主要领域名称的外部链接的数量作为代理,以获得他们受到的在线关注。我们还使用通用的爬网数据集(包含超过十亿个不同的网站之间的链接模式)来研究过去三年来整个网络中链接浓度的模式。最后,我们通过探索社交媒体上的在线关注与电动汽车制造商特斯拉的企业价值增长之间的关系来展示经济,金融和市场数据之间的联系。我们的分析表明,尽管我们观察到所有宏观指标的一致增长 - 在线关注的总量,具有在线存在的组织数量以及他们执行的功能中 - 我们还观察到,较小的组织数量占总数不断增加的总用户注意力,通常是一个大型播放器在每个功能中都占主导地位。这些结果凸显了在线经济的演变如何涉及创新,多样性,然后涉及竞争优势。
Ever since the web began, the number of websites has been growing exponentially. These websites cover an ever-increasing range of online services that fill a variety of social and economic functions across a growing range of industries. Yet the networked nature of the web, combined with the economics of preferential attachment, increasing returns and global trade, suggest that over the long run a small number of competitive giants are likely to dominate each functional market segment, such as search, retail and social media. Here we perform a large scale longitudinal study to quantify the distribution of attention given in the online environment to competing organisations. In two large online social media datasets, containing more than 10 billion posts and spanning more than a decade, we tally the volume of external links posted towards the organisations' main domain name as a proxy for the online attention they receive. We also use the Common Crawl dataset -- which contains the linkage patterns between more than a billion different websites -- to study the patterns of link concentration over the past three years across the entire web. Lastly, we showcase the linking between economic, financial and market data by exploring the relationships between online attention on social media and the growth in enterprise value in the electric carmaker Tesla. Our analysis shows that despite the fact that we observe consistent growth in all the macro indicators -- the total amount of online attention, in the number of organisations with an online presence, and in the functions they perform -- we also observe that a smaller number of organisations account for an ever-increasing proportion of total user attention, usually with one large player dominating each function. These results highlight how evolution of the online economy involves innovation, diversity, and then competitive dominance.