论文标题
通过顺序转换分割高维矩阵值的时间序列
Segmenting High-dimensional Matrix-valued Time Series via Sequential Transformations
论文作者
论文摘要
建模矩阵值值时间序列是一个有趣而重要的研究主题。在本文中,我们扩展了Chang等人的方法。 (2017)到矩阵值得时间序列。对于任何给定的$ p \ times q $矩阵值时间序列,我们寻找线性转换,以将矩阵分割为许多小的子末端,它们每个矩阵都与其他小介质不相关,因此可以单独和串行地分析,因此可以分别分析它们,从而大大减少对建模的参数的估计数量。为了克服标识问题,我们提出了一个两步,更结构化的程序,以分别分割行和列。当$ \ max(p,q)$与样本大小$ n $相关时,我们假设转换矩阵很少,并且使用(自动)协方差矩阵的阈值估计器。我们还提出了一种块阈值方法,以分离转换后矩阵值数据的列(或行)。为固定和不同的$ \ max(p,q)$建立了渐近属性。与独立数据的主成分分析(PCA)不同,我们不能保证存在所需的线性转换。如果没有,则提出的方法提供了近似分段,这可能对预测有用。用模拟和真实数据示例说明了所提出的方法。我们还提出了一种顺序转换算法,以分割高阶张量值时间序列。
Modeling matrix-valued time series is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we extend the method of Chang et al. (2017) to matrix-valued time series. For any given $p\times q$ matrix-valued time series, we look for linear transformations to segment the matrix into many small sub-matrices for which each of them are uncorrelated with the others both contemporaneously and serially, thus they can be analyzed separately, which will greatly reduce the number of parameters to be estimated in terms of modeling. To overcome the identification issue, we propose a two-step and more structured procedure to segment the rows and columns separately. When $\max(p,q)$ is large in relation to the sample size $n$, we assume the transformation matrices are sparse and use threshold estimators for the (auto)covariance matrices. We also propose a block-wisely thresholding method to separate the columns (or rows) of the transformed matrix-valued data. The asymptotic properties are established for both fixed and diverging $\max(p,q)$. Unlike principal component analysis (PCA) for independent data, we cannot guarantee that the required linear transformation exists. When it does not, the proposed method provides an approximate segmentation, which may be useful for forecasting. The proposed method is illustrated with both simulated and real data examples. We also propose a sequential transformation algorithm to segment higher-order tensor-valued time series.