论文标题
大气和模型物理扰动对红海高分辨率集合数据同化系统的影响
Impact of Atmospheric and Model Physics Perturbations On a High-Resolution Ensemble Data Assimilation System of the Red Sea
论文作者
论文摘要
实施数据同化研究测试床(DART)的集合调整Kalman滤波器(EAKF)是为了同化卫星海面温度,海拔海面高度以及原位海洋温度和原位海洋温度和盐度概况的观察,成为一个涡流解决的4 km马萨诸塞州,马萨诸塞州技术通用循环模型(Mitgcm)。我们研究了三种不同的集合产生策略(1)IEXP,使用海洋国家的集合在2011年1月1日初始化该模型,并使滤波器误差协方差膨胀10%,(2)IAEXEX,将大气集合添加到IEXP上,并且(3)IAPEXP添加了IIAEXExp的型模型物理学。同化实验从相同的初始集合开始,并每三天吸收数据。结果表明,IEXP在头几个月内主要改善了模型输出,而在海洋估计中显示了动态不平衡的迹象,尤其是在数据 - 板块地下层中。在整个同化期间,IAEXERD产生了实质性改进,几乎没有不平衡的迹象,包括地下层。在强度和位置方面,它进一步保存了模型的中尺度特征,从而改善了涡流的预测。 IAPEXP中的扰动模型物理稍微改善了预测统计以及盆地量表涡流的放置。与地下层相比,与IAEXP相比,增加水文覆盖范围进一步改善了IAPEXP的结果。关闭IAEXEX和IAPEXP中的乘法通货膨胀会导致进一步的改进,尤其是在地下层中。
The Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter (EAKF) of the Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART) is implemented to assimilate observations of satellite sea surface temperature, altimeter sea surface height and in situ ocean temperature and salinity profiles into an eddy-resolving 4 km Massachusetts Institute of Technology general circulation model (MITgcm) of the Red Sea. We investigate the impact of three different ensemble generation strategies (1) Iexp, uses ensemble of ocean states to initialize the model on 1st January, 2011 and inflates filter error covariance by 10 percent, (2) IAexp, adds ensemble of atmospheric forcing to Iexp, and (3) IAPexp, adds perturbed model physics to IAexp. The assimilation experiments are run for one year, starting from the same initial ensemble and assimilating data every three days. Results demonstrate that the Iexp mainly improved the model outputs with respect to assimilation free MITgcm run in the first few months, before showing signs of dynamical imbalances in the ocean estimates, particularly in the data-sparse subsurface layers. The IAexp yielded substantial improvements throughout the assimilation period with almost no signs of imbalances, including the subsurface layers. It further well preserved the model mesoscale features resulting in an improved forecasts for eddies, both in terms of intensity and location. Perturbing model physics in IAPexp slightly improved the forecast statistics and also the placement of basin scale eddies. Increasing hydrographic coverage further improved the results of IAPexp compared to IAexp in the subsurface layers. Switching off multiplicative inflation in IAexp and IAPexp leads to further improvements, especially in the subsurface layers.